To: Robin Owen on SY
"Whisper"
From: Commanders' Weather
Corporation, tel: 603-882-6789
Route: Opua, NZ to Savusavu,
Fiji
Position: 24 31S/175 40E.
0326utc Sat, May 10, 2008
Prepared: 1830utc Sat, May
10, 2008
Summary: Conditions should
continue to settle down for the next 36 hours
although it may become
a bit squally around the
Fiji islands on Tuesday
1) the storm NE of New
Zealand has drifted eastward to near 35s 178w with a
new center forming to the
ESE
a) this has allowed winds and seas to diminish somewhat
b) and this trend should continue tomorrow
2) Large high pressure over
SE Australia will shift very slowly NE, not
building strongly in behind
the departing low
3) Satellite imagery shows
the band of frontal cloudiness across Fiji at
this time, nearly stalled in
its northward progress
a) image loops show a developing impulse moving ESE along the
frontal band
S of the Solomons and W of
Vanuatu
b) computer models bring this impulse across Fiji on the 13th,
likely with
increasing squally
conditions and winds becoming SE and possibly gusting to
30-35 kts
4) After this passes, SE
winds should settle back into the teens on the 14th
5) SW seas are decreasing
through the 10-15 ft range today and will continue
to subside to 6-9 ft by Tue
Routing:
1) should now be able to
head on a NNE course toward Savusavu as winds and
seas ease
Wind forecasts
Wind directions are TRUE,
wind speed in kts, and time is UTC
Sat, May 10
19: 240-260/18-24 g30
Weather: Variably to mostly
cloudy with scattered showers
Seas 10-15ft and subsiding,
mostly SW swell
Sun, May 11
00: 240-260/16-22 nr 22
40S/176 50E
06: 230-250/14-20
12: 230-250/12-18
18: 240-260/10-16
Weather: Variably cloudy
with isolated showers and thunderstorms
Seas down to 9-12ft, SW
swell
Mon, May 12
00: 250-270/ 8-14 nr 20
20sS/178E
06: 300-330/ 6-12
12: 320-350/ 8-14
18: 320-350/10-18 g25
Weather: Variably cloudy
with showers and squalls developing. Winds may
gust 35 kts near heavier
squalls
Seas down to 7-10ft, SW/SSW
swell
Tue, May 13
00: 120-150/15-25 g30 nr 18s
179e
06: 140-170/15-25 g30
12: 150-170/12-20 g25
18: 140-160/10-18 SavuSavu
Weather.Mostly cloudy with
periods of showers and squalls, diminishing
later. Winds may gust 35 kts
near heavier squalls
Seas 6-8 ft with SSW swell
Wed, May 14 vicinity
SavuSavu
00: 130-150/10-16
12: 120-140/10-16
Weather..cloudy to partly
cloudy with few passing showers
Best regards,
John Leavitt
--
PLEASE NOTE: AS OF JANUARY
1, 2008, OUR NEW EMAIL ADDRESS IS :
info@commandersweather.com
Commanders Weather Corp.
Tel: 603-882-6789