To: Robin Owen on SY "Whisper"

From: Commanders' Weather Corporation, tel: 603-882-6789

Route: Opua, NZ to Savusavu, Fiji

Position: 30 43S/174 53E. 1800utc Wed, May 7, 2008

Prepared: 1900utc Wed, May 7, 2008

Summary:

1) satellite shows one low pressure area that is spiraling to the S of the

Chatham Islands, slowly moving off to the E

a) which will allow the complex surface and upper level low pressure areas

that are approaching NZ from the W to continue to slide off to the E

b) in addition, a "tropical" low is still forecast to be pulled S from the

Fiji area to be wrapped into the approaching low/cold front centered near

39S/170E by 12utc on the 8th

c) if the position of this low and the cold front (stretching N along

170E) verifies on the 8th, your winds will still be out of the NW and a

little more stable than once the cold front passes and you get into the

blustery and cooler W-SW winds

2) latest timing shows the W-SW winds to move in between 18utc on the

8thand 00utc on the 9

th

a) expect about 24-36hours of gusts winds and higher seas through 00utc on

the 10th

b) then easing conditions as you continue N and the low continues E

3) once conditions improve, you should be able to head on a rhumbline toward

Savusavu, probably on the 11th

Routing:

1) recommend continued routing toward the N until the 11th

a) can then head on a NNE course toward Savusavu as winds and seas ease

Wind forecasts

Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC

Thu, May 8

00: 010-340/ 10-18

12: 350-320/ 15-25 g30

18: 320-290/22-32 g40

Weather: Becoming variably cloudy with increased chc showers and

thunderstorms

Seas building to 8-10ft by late in the day, W swell

Fri, May 9

00: 280-250/ 28-35 g45-50 nr 27 50S/174 30E

12: 270-240/ 25-35 g45

Weather: Variable cloudiness with scattered showers and thunderstorms

Seas building to 10-12ft, W-SW swell

Sat, May 10

00: 260-240/ 25-35 g45 nr 25 20S/174 30E

12: 250-230/ 18-25 g35

Weather: Variably to mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms

Seas building to 12-15ft, W-SW swell

Sun, May 11

00: 250-230/ 12-20 g25 nr 23 20S/174 30E

12: 240-260/ 15-20 g25

Weather: Variably cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms

Seas down to 10-12ft, SW swell

Mon, May 12

00: 260-280/ 15-23 g30 nr 21S/176E

12: 270-290/ 15-22 g30

Weather: Variably cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms

Seas down to 8-10ft, SW swell

Best Regards,

Brynn Campbell

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